Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.403211 16.738048 19.271919 22.218552 25.543094 29.169853 33.417432
2025-10-26 10.357269 13.534500 17.327742 22.152909 28.086390 35.100986 43.973495
2025-11-02 7.874397 11.320257 15.760534 21.817586 29.768761 39.745069 53.087042
2025-11-09 6.185060 9.663271 14.449280 21.373316 30.965282 43.593444 61.247081
2025-11-16 4.946206 8.339858 13.295087 20.847902 31.813628 46.858770 68.694863
2025-11-23 3.927546 7.127152 12.070683 19.982680 31.977178 49.062277 74.707398
2025-11-30 3.481220 6.720338 11.966026 20.704515 34.423004 54.557598 85.594621
2025-12-07 3.114103 6.373126 11.888313 21.421233 36.870993 60.167084 96.941608
2025-12-14 2.611655 5.693390 11.159992 20.984810 37.445955 62.969746 104.255463
2025-12-21 2.177807 5.057769 10.410494 20.404666 37.696250 65.233381 110.818482
2025-12-28 2.019704 4.932753 10.549682 21.353183 40.513428 71.655230 124.120266
2026-01-04 1.862985 4.781706 10.615603 22.163642 43.136611 77.893621 137.430700
2026-01-11 1.626776 4.437502 10.306145 22.330776 44.794795 82.886176 149.418876
2026-01-18 1.409927 4.097803 9.968094 22.426047 46.371163 87.914580 161.893534
2026-01-25 1.191659 3.704215 9.456303 22.115020 47.164819 91.646640 172.417183
2026-02-01 0.999025 3.326734 8.915813 21.670329 47.646463 94.835708 182.163505
2026-02-08 0.832429 2.974242 8.370688 21.139468 47.893642 97.591655 191.274311
2026-02-15 0.674393 2.600219 7.708255 20.263993 47.361366 98.868865 197.817495
2026-02-22 0.620815 2.526688 7.767434 20.994529 50.127153 106.380232 215.842681
2026-03-01 0.572164 2.456344 7.823232 21.719824 52.930763 114.108239 234.616526
2026-03-08 0.481862 2.219900 7.403785 21.278187 53.229776 117.068367 244.782243
2026-03-15 0.400375 1.986652 6.949530 20.691086 53.152616 119.273606 253.626237
2026-03-22 0.378908 1.972349 7.111910 21.650963 56.548466 128.490587 276.087236